Mckay

The Strategic Logic of China's Economy

Millennial Pathways, Mega-strategy and the World in 2100

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auch verfügbar als Buch (Hardcover) für 128,39 €

eBook. PDF

eBook

2024

318 S. XXVIII, 318 p. 80 illus., 1 illus. in color..

In englischer Sprache

Springer Nature Switzerland. ISBN 978-3-031-47229-9

Das Werk ist Teil der Reihe: Contributions to Economics

Produktbeschreibung

This book reviews China's strategic pathway over the last 1000 years and considers its prospects for ascending to high-income status by the end of the 21st century. It analyzes why, although China's chances of joining the global core are sound, they are not outstanding; in addition, it faces mounting challenges, internal and external alike. The argument is presented in the framework of dynamic-strategy theory, which is expounded here in novel form. This exposition includes a wide ranging survey of global history, with a focus on the development of the industrialisation paths of the major economies of today, including a detailed study of Japan's long-run strategic pathway.

The book's closing section presents a scenario-based discussion of China's potential place in the world in 2100. The analysis implies that China's zenith is likely to be reached slightly before mid-century, after which its relative economic scale will likely decline. Beyond that general finding, the scenarios investigate the wide range of plausible outcomes that China may experience: a range that the author contends is much wider for China than for nations under-pinned by less complex political-economies. Given its scope, the book will appeal to scholars of history, economics, geopolitics and sinology, and to anyone interested in learning about China's economic prospects at a time of increasingly heated ideological and empirical debates.

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