Erschienen: 06.08.2002 Abbildung von Shadbolt / Taylor | Neural Networks and the Financial Markets | 1st Edition. | 2002 | Predicting, Combining and Port...

Shadbolt / Taylor

Neural Networks and the Financial Markets

Predicting, Combining and Portfolio Optimisation

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ca. 160,45 €

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1st Edition. 2002. Buch. xiv, 273 S. Bibliographien. Softcover

Springer. ISBN 978-1-85233-531-1

Format (B x L): 15,5 x 23,5 cm

Gewicht: 900 g

In englischer Sprache

Das Werk ist Teil der Reihe: Perspectives in Neural Computing

Produktbeschreibung

This is abook about the methods developed byour research team,over a period of 10years, for predicting financial market returns. Thework began in late 1991,at a time when one ofus (Jimmy Shadbolt) had just completed a rewrite of the software used at Econostat by the economics team for medium-term trend prediction of economic indica­ tors.Looking for anewproject,itwassuggestedthatwelook atnon-linear modelling of financial markets, and that a good place to start might be with neural networks. One small caveat should be added before we start: we use the terms "prediction" and "prediction model" throughout the book, although, with only such a small amount of information being extracted about future performance, can we really claim to be building predictors at all? Some might saythat the future ofmarkets, especially one month ahead, is too dim to perceive. We think we can claim to "predict" for two reasons. Firstlywedoindeedpredictafewper cent offuturevalues ofcertainassets in terms ofpast values ofcertainindicators, asshown by our trackrecord. Secondly, we use standard and in-house prediction methods that are purely quantitative. Weallow no subjective viewto alter what the models tell us. Thus weare doing prediction, even if the problem isvery hard. So while we could throughout the book talk about "getting a better view of the future" or some such euphemism, we would not be correctly describing what it isweare actually doing. Weare indeed getting abetter view of the future, by using prediction methods.

Gesamtwerk

Die 8. Auflage ist wieder auf sechs Bände angelegt. Darin finden sich übersichtlich und in systematischer Gliederung Vertragsmuster aus der Feder erfahrener Experten. Jedem dieser Muster folgen Anmerkungen, mit denen der dem Vertragsentwurf zu Grunde liegende Sachverhalt und die Gründe für die Wahl des spezifischen Formulars erläutert werden.

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